The biggest move this week is a release-week reset. Groudon, the Illustration Rare from Delta Reign, fell 60.9% in seven days to $16.41 raw, according to PokeInsider’s Card Data (TCGplayer Near Mint market prices) as of November 12, 2026.
Delta Reign and the last big wave of 30th Celebration products both released on November 6. Once the product was in hand, presale prices came down on singles and sealed alike.
Market Read
It was a down week. Of the 454 steadily traded cards PokeInsider tracks, 169 rose and 260 fell, with 25 flat. That is about 37% up and 57% down.
The lists are lopsided too. The 12th-biggest riser gained 2.2%, while the 12th-biggest faller lost 11.1%.
Four of the top five risers are vintage holos priced from ungraded sold prices, where one or two sales can swing the number. The modern side of the Hot list is thin.
Hot
Mega Lucario ex is the top riser at $15.38 raw, up 50.9% on the week with 292 sales in 30 days. I looked for a reason and did not find a clear one. Online tournament data I checked shows Mega Lucario decks winning about half their games, which is not a breakout. Sealed is not moving with it: the Mega Evolution Booster Box sits at $299.77, up 0.1% on the week.
The grading math is tight. PSA 10 is $76.00 and PSA 9 is $27.21. With PSA’s Value tier at $39.99 and 90-100 business days, a raw copy costs $55.37 all-in, so anything short of a 10 loses money.
Scizor (1st Edition) rose 48.0% to $170.51 raw. There is no clear reason, and the rest of the set does not back up a trend. Among other 1st Edition Neo Discovery holos, Tyranitar is up 21.8% and Espeon up 15.4%, but Politoed is down 11.0% and Kabutops down 12.4%.
Dark Magneton (Unlimited) gained 43.2% to $29.44. Again there is no clear reason. Dark Hypno from the same Team Rocket set fell 25.9% in the same week, which points to noise rather than demand for the set.
Aerodactyl (1st Edition) at $78.00 (+33.5%) and Electrode (1st Edition) at $53.12 (+32.8%) are the same story. Raw vintage numbers come from sold prices, and the condition of the few copies that sold can move the figure by a third.
Gravity Mountain is the one modern riser with a trend behind it: $12.21, up 12.2% on the week and 18.8% on the month. It is a Stadium that takes 30 HP off every Stage 2 Pokémon in play. Players testing a new format after Delta Reign is the obvious guess, but I found no tournament result to pin it on. Surging Sparks sealed is firm too (see below).
Starly is up 5.9% to $15.90 but still down 4.3% on the month, so this is a small bounce with no clear cause. What stands out is the gap to PSA 10 at $440.94, about 28 times raw.
Talonflame ex is the only Delta Reign card on the Hot list: $11.99, up 2.9% on the week and 20.0% on the month. The reason is play. The Pokémon Company’s own feature on the set’s top cards calls it a partner for Mega Rayquaza ex and Raging Bolt ex decks.
Not
Groudon and Kecleon have the same cause. Delta Reign released on November 6, 2026, per The Pokémon Company, and this was the first full week of boxes being opened. Groudon lost 60.9% to $16.41 and Kecleon lost 39.4% to $19.42. The 30-day figures on these cards include presale pricing from before release.
The graded prices are just as young. Groudon shows PSA 10 at $131.27 and PSA 9 at $36.01. A raw copy plus the $39.99 PSA Value fee is $56.40, and a card submitted today comes back in 90-100 business days to whatever the price is then.
Shining Celebi, Mew VMAX and Darkrai & Cresselia Legend (Top) fell 26.0%, 23.7% and 17.0%. The likeliest reason is new supply. The 30th Celebration Ultra-Premium Collections released on November 6, and reports say each box includes a Classic Collection pack with three cards from the 30-card subset.
Volume backs that up: 732, 805 and 833 sales in 30 days. These are the cheaper cards in the subset, so they are the first to get listed in bulk when boxes are opened.
Charizard (Unlimited) fell 29.9% to $281.68 raw. There is no clear reason, and the other printings say it is noise. In the same week the 1st Edition’s raw price rose 25.0% to $8,087.50 and Shadowless slipped 4.3% to $1,007.00. A raw Base Set Charizard price depends heavily on the condition of the copies that sold.
Lt. Surge’s Magneton (Unlimited) dropped 39.6% to $12.94. This is the same thin-sales pattern as the vintage risers, pointing the other way, and I have no clear reason for it.
Mega Floette ex lost 15.6% to $19.75 with 327 sales in 30 days. Chaos Rising released on May 22, 2026, per The Pokémon Company, and I found no news on the card. Attention moving to a new set is a guess, not a fact.
Sealed
The fallers are almost all November 6 releases. The Ditto Premium Collection, the two Ultra-Premium Collections and Delta Reign all arrived that day, and presale premiums came off as boxes shipped.
The premiums are smaller but not gone. Reported MSRP is $179.99 for the Ultra-Premium Collections and $39.99 for the Ditto box, so all three still trade at more than double. A restock of the Ultra-Premium Collections has not been confirmed.
Delta Reign is sliding across the line, per PokeInsider’s Card Data (TCGplayer market price):
- Booster Box: $210.23, down 8.1% on the week, or $5.84 a pack.
- Elite Trainer Box: $92.38, down 12.7%.
- Booster Bundle: $42.77, down 12.7%.
- Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box: $219.39 against a reported $59.99 MSRP.
Reports also have big-box retailers selling the standard Elite Trainer Box close to market price.
On the riser side, Surging Sparks is the only theme. Both Booster Bundles are up about 6%, and the Booster Box is at $304.96, up 2.2%. I have no clear reason for the Ultra Prism, Trick or Trade or Charizard Ultra-Premium moves. The same goes for Eternatus VMAX, where identical 7-day and 30-day changes suggest a single repricing.
Bottom Line: What I Am Doing
This week was about supply. Two product waves landed on November 6 and the cards and boxes tied to them repriced. The realistic options:
- Delta Reign singles: our signal is SELL on Groudon and Kecleon. The alternative is to wait for prices to settle before buying. Talonflame ex is the exception because players need it.
- 30th Celebration: our signal is SELL on Shining Celebi and Darkrai & Cresselia Legend (Top), HOLD on Mew VMAX. Sealed is still more than double reported MSRP, with no restock confirmed either way.
- Vintage: every vintage mover here is a HOLD on our signal. One-week swings in raw sold prices, up or down, are not a reason to act.
- Mega Lucario ex: a 50.9% week with no catalyst I could find. Our signal is HOLD.
- Kecleon (Delta Reign): $19.42 raw, $158.57 in a PSA 10
- Groudon (Delta Reign): $16.41 raw, $131.27 in a PSA 10
What did you think?
