UMBREON EX 161 IS THE ONE PRISMATIC EVOLUTIONS CARD THE RESTOCKS CANNOT TOUCH, SO I AM HOLDING IT AND BUYING SEALED ONLY AT LIST
TL;DR: Prismatic Evolutions restocks are hitting everything in the set except the Umbreon ex 161/131 SIR. A dozen raw Umbreons sold on eBay from November 6 to 11 at a $945 median, flat on the week before, while the ETB fell 12.3 percent to $113.68 and Sylveon ex fell 10.9 percent on TCGplayer since October 20. My call: HOLD the Umbreon, buy sealed only at list. Data as of November 13, 2026.
Hot and Not: The Prismatic Evolutions Split in Numbers
| HOT | Price, venue and date | Move | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|
| Umbreon ex 161/131 SIR, raw | $945 eBay median, November 6 to 11, 2026 (PriceCharting sales log) | Flat: $950 median October 29 to November 5 | 12 raw sales, $750.00 to $1,225.01 |
| Umbreon ex 161/131 SIR, raw Near Mint | $1,186.84 TCGplayer Market Price, November 13, 2026 | Down 3.7% from $1,232.76 on October 20 | 1 Near Mint sale since October 26 ($1,097.00, November 2) |
| Umbreon ex 161/131 SIR, PSA 10 | $4,050.00 PriceCharting, November 13, 2026 | Down $107.14 at the latest update | Thin |
| NOT | Price, venue and date | Move | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sylveon ex 156/131 SIR, raw Near Mint | $370.54 TCGplayer Market Price, November 13, 2026 | Down 10.9% from $415.72 on October 20 | 20 raw sales November 6 to 12, $327.50 median (PriceCharting) |
| Prismatic Evolutions Super-Premium Collection | $234.50 TCGplayer Market Price, November 13, 2026 | Down 7.5% from $253.58 on October 20 | 98 sold November 7 to 13 |
| Prismatic Evolutions Elite Trainer Box (standard) | $113.68 TCGplayer Market Price, November 13, 2026 | Down 12.3% from $129.57 on October 20 | 225 sold November 4 to 10 |
| Retail list (restocks) | $49.99 ETB, $89.99 SPC | Restock alerts November 10 to 12 | Retailer stock depth not published |
Here is my hot take. The Prismatic Evolutions restocks are hitting every product in the set except the one card people actually chase. The Umbreon ex 161 price did not move this week. Twelve raw copies of the Umbreon ex, Prismatic Evolutions 161/131, Special Illustration Rare sold on eBay from November 6 to 11, 2026 at a $945 median, per PriceCharting‘s sales log. The 19 raw sales from October 29 to November 5 had a $950 median.
Everything else bled. The standard Elite Trainer Box read $113.68 on TCGplayer on November 13, 2026, down 12.3 percent from $129.57 on October 20. So I am holding the Umbreon, and I am buying Prismatic sealed only at retail list. Nothing else in this set gets my money at market right now.
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Holding an Umbreon or a stack of Prismatic ETBs and not sure what to do with them? Write to the editor at pokeinsiderinfo@gmail.com with what you paid, and I will tell you how I would play it.
Hot: Umbreon ex 161 Shrugged Off Restock Week
Restock week should have hurt the chase card first. It did not. The eBay sales ran from $750.00 to $1,225.01, the same band the card has traded in since late October, and the middle of that band barely moved. That is real money changing hands on a card people want, not a screen price.
TCGplayer tells the same story with less volume. A raw Near Mint copy carried a $1,186.84 Market Price on November 13, 2026, down 3.7 percent from $1,232.76 on October 20. Be honest about that number, though. TCGplayer printed only one Near Mint sale since October 26, at $1,097.00 on November 2. The Umbreon trades on eBay, and that is the tape I am reading.
I am not pretending this card is bulletproof. Its TCGplayer Near Mint weekly close peaked at $1,580.97 in the week of May 25, 2026, so it is down 24.9 percent from the top. But over the last three weeks, while Prismatic product hit shelves at list, it held. That is the whole point of this piece.
Not: Sylveon ex Proves Our October Wait Right
The Sylveon ex, Prismatic Evolutions 156/131, Special Illustration Rare read $370.54 on TCGplayer Near Mint on November 13, 2026. On October 20 it read $415.72. That is down 10.9 percent in a little over three weeks.
The sales are lower than the screen again. Twenty raw copies sold from November 6 to 12, 2026 for $198.90 to $400.00, at a $327.50 median, per PriceCharting’s log of eBay and TCGplayer sales. I left out a BGS 9.5 slab and an Indonesian card that the log filed with them. That median was $351.00 for October 12 to 18.
We called WAIT on this card in our Sylveon ex Prismatic SIR breakdown on October 21. The two things that would have ended the wait never happened. No weekly close fell to $350 or under, and the card never put two straight higher weekly closes together. The WAIT saved anyone who listened about $45 a copy, and it still stands.
The Sealed Side Is Bleeding Toward List
The Super Premium Collection read $234.50 on TCGplayer on November 13, 2026, down 7.5 percent from $253.58 on October 20. It touched $229.89 on November 2 and sits $4.61 above it. Ninety eight sold from November 7 to 13.
The ETB moved harder and on bigger volume. It sold 225 times on TCGplayer from November 4 to 10, 2026, with one sale as low as $99.39 on November 6. It read $121.72 on November 1, $110.85 on November 10 and $113.68 on November 13.
I owe you the honest part. On September 13, 2026 we called a BUY on the ETB at $146.03 and the SPC at $248.47. That call has not worked yet. The ETB is down 22.2 percent from there and the SPC is down 5.6 percent. The single booster pack still read $14.21 on PriceCharting on November 13, so the pack floor that call leaned on is holding, but the box premium is gone.
Is the Umbreon ex 161 a good buy right now?
At the right price, yes. The Umbreon ex 161 is the one Prismatic single real buyers are still paying for, and the eBay median sits at $945. That is my line. I would buy a raw Near Mint copy at or under $950, and I would not chase it above that.
The trap is the spike. This card sells a dozen copies a week on eBay, so two hot sales can put a $1,225 print at the top of every price page. Never buy the day after one of those. Wait for the next copy near the median, check the photos and the centering, and buy that one.
Why the Split Exists
Restocks add product, and product is what the sealed price was built on. Restock alerts flagged the ETB at its $49.99 list on Amazon on November 10, 2026 and the Super-Premium Collection at its $89.99 list at Walmart on November 11 and Amazon on November 12. Best Buy opened ETB invites on November 8. The Pokemon Company International has announced no new print run, so I call these restocks, not a reprint.
Every restock box someone opens is another shot at the Umbreon, and the card still holds. That tells me demand for it is deeper than the supply showing up. The Sylveon and the boxes do not have that. When a $113.68 ETB shows up at $49.99, the market price has to walk toward the shelf.
What a Buyer Does on Each Side
On the Hot side, hold. If you own an Umbreon ex 161, do not sell it into restock headlines, because the buyers have not left. If you want one, buy raw Near Mint at or under $950 and walk away from any copy priced off a spike.
On the Not side, stay away from market price. Sealed over singles is still my rule, but not at more than double list while TPCi keeps shipping this set. Buy the ETB at $49.99 and the SPC at $89.99 from the retailer itself, limit what you need, and skip every third party seller.
Are you holding your Umbreon or chasing $49.99 ETBs? Tell me in the comments which side of this split you are on and what you paid.
More market reads like this one live in our Market Analysis coverage.
Hold the Umbreon and Buy Prismatic Sealed Only at List
My position is HOLD on the Umbreon and a BUY only at or under $950 for raw Near Mint. On Prismatic sealed it is AVOID at market and BUY at list, $49.99 for the ETB and $89.99 for the SPC. My horizon runs through the holiday restocks. The risk on the Umbreon is a slow bleed like its 24.9 percent slide from May.
The Umbreon hold is wrong if its weekly eBay raw median drops under $850 on ten or more sales. The sealed AVOID ends when restock alerts stop for a full month and the ETB posts two straight higher weekly TCGplayer closes. Bring your comps to our Facebook page.
Frequently Asked Questions
How much is the Umbreon ex 161 SIR worth right now?
A raw Umbreon ex, Prismatic Evolutions 161/131 SIR sold 12 times on eBay from November 6 to 11, 2026, for $750.00 to $1,225.01 at a $945 median, per PriceCharting’s sales log. TCGplayer’s Near Mint Market Price read $1,186.84 on November 13, 2026, on very few sales.
Should I buy Prismatic Evolutions sealed at market price?
Not while restocks keep landing. The standard Prismatic Evolutions ETB read $113.68 on TCGplayer on November 13, 2026, against a $49.99 list price, and the Super-Premium Collection read $234.50 against $89.99. I only buy either one at list, from the retailer.
What did you think?
